Toronto Housing Prices: July 2020 Update and 2021 Forecast

Real estate in Toronto continued its recovery from COVID-19 with 11,081 home sales in the month of July, a record-breaking number of sales and a 29.5% increase compared to July 2019. Combined with a 16.9% increase in average sold prices, Toronto's housing market has experienced an exuberant recovery after its recent lows in March and April. Backed by record household savings rates and government programs including the CMHC First-Time Home Buyer Incentive, many Canadian housing markets have risen past their previous highs despite COVID-19.

The optimism in real estate markets may have been boosted by recent announcements by the Bank of Canada promising continued Quantitative Easing and low interest rates into 2021. In addition, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Federal Government have announced the extension of the Canadian Emergency Wage Subsidy until the end of 2020. This may protect Canadians from further unemployment shocks and support Canada's economic recovery.

Average Sold Price and MLS HPI Benchmark Price

Total Transactions

Property Type Distribution

Impacts on Mortgages and Mortgage Rates

Due in part to the continued growth in real estate as well as loose monetary policy, mortgage lenders, including members of the Big Five (RBC, TD, CIBC, Scotiabank, and BMO), are increasingly willing to discount risk in the housing market and are offering record-low mortgage rates. Although this highly-competitive market may not last past the end of 2020, mortgage rates are not expected to rise significantly by 2022.

Detached Homes

$5,633
Avg. Sold Price
27%
Monthly change
50%
Quarterly change
43%
Annual change
5,633
Transactions
27%
Monthly change
50%
Quarterly change
43%
Annual change

Average Sold Price

Transactions

Semi-Detached Homes

$1,068
Avg. Sold Price
34%
Monthly change
42%
Quarterly change
24%
Annual change
1,068
Transactions
34%
Monthly change
42%
Quarterly change
24%
Annual change

Average Sold Price

Transactions

Townhouses

$1,852
Avg. Sold Price
18%
Monthly change
33%
Quarterly change
31%
Annual change
1,852
Transactions
18%
Monthly change
33%
Quarterly change
31%
Annual change

Average Sold Price

Transactions

Condo Apartments

$2,423
Avg. Sold Price
35%
Monthly change
20%
Quarterly change
6%
Annual change
2,423
Transactions
35%
Monthly change
20%
Quarterly change
6%
Annual change

Average Sold Price

Transactions

Glossary and Definitions

MLS® HPI: The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) is an index by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) that tracks the prices of homes in a neighborhood. It allows Canadians to quickly compare home prices across Canada and between periods of time without having to account for specific features of a property. Unlike market prices, which can fluctuate from month to month based on seasonal dynamics, the HPI provides a stable view tracks trends across a longer period of time. The HPI is reviewed every year in May to adjust for changes in the real estate marketplace.

MLS® HPI Benchmark Price: The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Benchmark Price is the HPI translated into a real-world price number.

Strata Insurance: Strata insurance is insurance used by a strata like a condominium to covers damages to common areas and assets and liability to the strata. It can also include fixtures built or installed as part of the original construction of each unit, even though these may not be common structures. The insurance can cover:

  • Buildings and structures associated with the strata including common areas such as the roof, parking garages, driveways, gyms, pools, etc.
  • Liability for any property damage or bodily injury suffered on strata property
  • Any fixtures that are part of the "standard unit" or original construction of each unit

Strata insurance does not usually include personal items and appliances that are part of a condo unit. It also does not cover the damages made by individual unit owners, such as in the case of water damage caused by a unit owner. These are usually covered by personal condo insurance.

Property types

Detached home: A detached home is your standard single-family home. It is a residential building that stands alone and is separately titled or legally a single unit.

Semi-detached home: A semi-detached home is similar to a detached home, except it shares a wall with another home. This pair of homes must make up an independent building and each should be separately titled or legally two separate units. There can only be two homes in a semi-detached building.

Townhouses: A townhouse is the middle between a detached/semi-detached home and a condo apartment. Like detached and semi-detached homes, they are often single-family units that have their own land and may be attached to other units. However, like condo apartments, they typically have to pay co-ownership fees for maintenance and may share some common features with their neighbors.

Condo apartment: This category includes all apartments and condominiums. These are complexes of residential units with common areas such as hallways, parking lots, stairwells, etc. They can be low-rise, mid-rise, or high-rise buildings. Unlike townhouses, there are no parts of the lot (the land of the building) where access is reserved for only one owner or occupant. There can be privately owned units and spaces inside the building.

Data sourced from the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) and the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA). Any analysis or commentary is the opinion of the analysts at WOWA.ca and should not be construed as investment advice. Please consult a licensed real estate professional before making a real estate investment decision. The trademarks MLS®, Multiple Listing Service® and the associated logos are owned by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify the quality of services provided by real estate professionals who are members of CREA. The trademarks REALTOR®, REALTORS®, and the REALTOR® logo are controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) and identify real estate professionals who are members of CREA.