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When looking at this table, —where Canadian cities dominate the top of the list—two key questions emerge:
1️⃣ Does population growth drive home prices?
2️⃣ Is it the main factor?
👥 Population growth clearly matters: 7 of the 10 fastest-rising markets also rank high in population gains. More people = more demand, especially in prime areas.
❌ But it’s not the whole story.
🏡 Charlotte, Orlando, and Houston lead in population growth yet don’t rank among the top 4 for price appreciation. Meanwhile, Montréal is 2nd in price growth despite modest population growth.
💡 The difference comes down largely to speculative demand 💸 and supply constraints 🚧.
In Canada, two decades of speculation have fueled prices, while zoning rules have constrained supply, and overregulation along with high development fees have pushed costs even higher.
🌍 Other factors—such as low property taxes 💰 and foreign capital 💵—have also played a role in driving home prices up.
Check out our CEO's recent article in The Globe and Mail on this topic: Why these three Canadian cities top the U.S. in housing inflation
| Metro Area | Price Change (2005 to 2025) | Home Price (July 2005) | Home Price (July 2025) | Pop. Change (2005 to 2025) | Pop. (July 2005) | Pop. (July 2024) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vancouver | 175% | $306K | $842K | 43.8% | 2.2M | 3.1M |
| Montreal | 167% | $156K | $417K | 22.7% | 3.8M | 4.6M |
| Toronto | 164% | $268K | $709K | 35.4% | 5.2M | 7.1M |
| Dallas | 139% | $154K | $369K | 43.5% | 5.8M | 8.3M |
| Charlotte | 134% | $166K | $389K | 89.8% | 1.5M | 2.9M |
| Denver | 125% | $258K | $581K | 29.7% | 2.4M | 3.1M |
| Seattle | 119% | $343K | $751K | 29.5% | 3.2M | 4.1M |
| Houston | 107% | $150K | $311K | 49.1% | 5.2M | 7.8M |
| Atlanta | 102% | $191K | $385K | 29.6% | 4.9M | 6.4M |
| Miami | 84% | $256K | $473K | 18.6% | 5.4M | 6.5M |
| Tampa | 83% | $198K | $361K | 29.8% | 2.6M | 3.4M |
| San Francisco | 79% | $629K | $1.13M | 12.0% | 4.1M | 4.6M |
| Boston | 77% | $412K | $731K | 12.7% | 4.5M | 5M |
| Orlando | 76% | $222K | $389K | 51.6% | 1.9M | 2.9M |
| Phoenix | 75% | $256K | $449K | 33.5% | 3.9M | 5.2M |
| Philadelphia | 74% | $222K | $387K | 8.2% | 5.9M | 6.3M |
| Los Angeles | 73% | $555K | $959K | 1.3% | 12.8M | 12.9M |
| San Diego | 71% | $542K | $926K | 12.1% | 2.9M | 3.3M |
| Detroit | 66% | $162K | $269K | -2.1% | 4.5M | 4.4M |
| Inland Empire* | 66% | $353K | $585K | 22.9% | 3.9M | 4.7M |
| New York | 59% | $447K | $713K | 6.1% | 18.8M | 19.9M |
| Minneapolis | 53% | $255K | $391K | 20.0% | 3.1M | 3.8M |
| Baltimore | 45% | $278K | $404K | 7.9% | 2.6M | 2.9M |
| Washington | 41% | $414K | $585K | 23.1% | 5.2M | 6.4M |
| Chicago | 41% | $246K | $346K | 0.5% | 9.4M | 9.4M |
Source: Home Price - US Zillow Housing Data (All Home, US & Metro), CA CREA MLS® HPI (Composite Benchmark);
Population - US Census, CA StatCan, St. Louis Fed. Data;
FX Rates - Bank of Canada (CAD/USD rates)
*Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA Metro Area
The trend remains consistent with recent months, as Ontario and B.C. home prices continue to decline, dragging down the national prices. A notable shift is that Alberta’s housing market is also beginning to cool.
🔹 Benchmark Price: $686,800 ⬇️ -3.4% Yearly | ⬇️ -0.9% Monthly
🔹 Average Price: $664,078 ⬆️ +1.8% Yearly | ⬇️ -1.3% Monthly
🔹 Sales: 40,714* ⬆️ +5.7% Yearly | ⬆️ +1.1% Monthly *Seasonally Adjusted
🔹 Sales-to-New-Listings Ratio (SNLR): 51% → A balanced market.
📘 Read the full August 2025 Housing Market Report
| Province | Average Home Price | Monthly Change (%) | Annual Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| British Columbia | $926,335 | -1.7% | -1.4% |
| Ontario | $804,985 | -2.1% | -1.6% |
| Quebec | $549,424 | 1.6% | 10.9% |
| Alberta | $502,684 | -0.1% | 2.0% |
| Nova Scotia | $467,148 | 2.0% | 7.1% |
| Prince Edward Island | $400,594 | 5.9% | -0.3% |
| Manitoba | $395,913 | 1.4% | 8.9% |
| Saskatchewan | $359,379 | 2.1% | 14.0% |
| New Brunswick | $352,965 | 2.8% | 7.2% |
| Newfoundland and Labrador | $352,687 | -0.8% | 2.8% |
| Canada | $664,078 | -1.3% | 1.8% |
Sources: CREA and Provincial Real Estate Boards
| Province | Benchmark Home Price | Monthly Change (%) | Annual Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| British Columbia | $942,800 | -1.0% | -3.1% |
| Ontario | $787,500 | -1.0% | -6.7% |
| Quebec | $526,100 | -0.9% | 7.9% |
| Alberta | $515,300 | -0.8% | -0.1% |
| Nova Scotia | $428,800 | -0.1% | 3.5% |
| Prince Edward Island | $377,400 | -0.5% | 1.3% |
| Saskatchewan | $372,200 | -0.1% | 8.0% |
| Newfoundland | $337,600 | 2.1% | 12.3% |
| New Brunswick | $328,400 | 0.3% | 6.2% |
| Canada | $686,800 | -0.9% | -3.4% |
Sources: CREA and Provincial Real Estate Boards
| Province | August 2025 SNLR | Market Type |
|---|---|---|
| Canada | 51.2% | Balanced Market |
| Alberta | 63% | Seller's Market |
| Saskatchewan | 71.4% | Seller's Market |
| Manitoba | 73% | Seller's Market |
| Ontario | 43% | Balanced Market |
| Quebec | 63% | Seller's Market |
| Nova Scotia | 69% | Seller's Market |
| New Brunswick | 69% | Seller's Market |
| Prince Edward Island | 59% | Balanced Market |
| Newfoundland | 77% | Seller's Market |
Sources: CREA and Provincial Real Estate Boards
🏆 Record-Breakers in August 2025
Newfoundland & Labrador: 8th straight monthly record benchmark ($337,600).
⚖️ Market Balance
Nationally, Canada remains balanced at 51% SNLR. But under the surface:
📍Regional Trends:
📬 Explore Regional Breakdowns in the Full Reports:
📬 Explore the Full Canada Housing Market Report
For full province-by-province breakdowns, mortgage rate updates, and detailed charts:
Disclaimer: