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Reported by WOWA Data Labs
At WOWA Data Labs, we track 100+ daily mortgage rates submitted by real borrowers. And the truth? Advertised rates aren’t the real story.
📊 Our Findings (Aug 11 – Sep 17, 2025):
From 171 mortgage shoppers at RBC, TD, BMO, and CIBC (more than half finalized), the average 3-year fixed rate offered was significantly lower than what the banks advertised.
💡 Example:
At TD, the gap was 48 bps—saving borrowers about $2,400/year on a $500K mortgage compared to the posted website rate.
📉 The lesson: Big banks’ advertised rates are just a starting point. If you have solid credit and income, never accept the first number—negotiate & shop around!
Comparison of Advertised and Actual 3-Year Fixed Conventional Mortgage Rates
Source: WOWA Data Labs
Source: WOWA Data Labs
Source: WOWA Data Labs
Source: WOWA Data Labs
Learn more about our Data Packages designed for Financial Institutions here: WOWA Data Labs
Mortgage Renewals On the Rise: As expected, residential mortgage renewals in Canada are set to rise sharply over the next 24 months, with more than 51% of mortgages coming up for renewal.
Mortgage Portfolio Overview: Among the seven largest lenders, RBC does not disclose mortgage-specific renewal statistics in its quarterly reports, providing only aggregate data for its total loan portfolio.
We analyzed renewal statistics for the residential mortgage portfolios of TD, Scotiabank, BMO, CIBC, National Bank, and Desjardins, which together hold a global residential mortgage portfolio of $1.46 trillion—over 87% of which are Canadian residential mortgages.
Mortgage Renewal Projections:
What’s Driving the Surge? This renewal wave stems from the low interest rate environment of 2020–2021, when many homeowners locked into 5-year fixed terms during refinancing and renewals.
| 6 Months | 6 – 12 Months | 1–2 Years | 2–5 Years | 5+ Years | No Specific Maturity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total of 5 Banks + Desjardins | 10.6% $154.1B | 14.3% $208.7B | 26.6% $388.5B | 37.4% $545.9B | 10.3% $150.6B | 0.9% $12.6B |
| TD | 7.4% $23.5B | 13.7% $43.4B | 26.5% $83.8B | 36.8% $116.2B | 15.5% $49.0B | 0% $0 |
| Scotiabank | 10.9% $39.2B | 14.3% $51.5B | 27.7% $100.0B | 34.3% $123.8B | 11.7% $42.1B | 1.2% $4.3B |
| BMO | 9.0% $17.6B | 13.0% $25.3B | 24.4% $47.7B | 35.5% $69.3B | 18.0% $35.0B | 0.1% $0.2B |
| CIBC | 13.4% $38.3B | 17.6% $50.2B | 30.3% $86.7B | 35.2% $100.8B | 3.5% $10.0B | 0.0% $0 |
| National Bank | 11.5% $12.8B | 13.3% $14.8B | 23.1% $25.7B | 42.0% $46.8B | 9.6% $10.6B | 0.5% $0.6B |
| Desjardins** | 11.9% $22.7B | 12.3% $23.4B | 23.3% $44.6B | 46.6% $89.0B | 2.0% $3.9B | 3.9% $7.5B |
| 6 Months | 6 – 12 Months | 1–2 Years | 2–5 Years | 5+ Years | No Specific Maturity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC | 10.2% $104.7B | 11.6% $119.1B | 29.0% $297.7B | 29.1% $298.2B | 8.1% $82.6B | 12.0% $123.1B |
Source: Lenders' Quarterly and Annual Financial Reports
*The total mortgages for which we provided renewal statistics, excluding RBC, amount to $1,460B. Of this, $1,277B corresponds to residential mortgages in Canada.
**For Desjardins, the periods are 6 months - Jul 1, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, 6 - 12 months - Jan 1, 2026 to Jun 30, 2026, 1 -2 years - Jul 1, 2026 to Jun 30, 2027, 2 - 5 years
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