The Debt Dilemma: Debt Outpacing GDP Growth (2014 vs. 2024)

November 6, 2024
The Debt Dilemma: Debt Outpacing GDP Growth (2014 vs. 2024)

The Debt Dilemma: The debt levels in the U.S. and Canada are growing faster than GDP, with U.S. federal and Canadian household debt hitting critical zones.🚨

The Debt Dilemma: Debt Outpacing GDP Growth (2014 vs. 2024)

USACanada
2014202410-year Increase2014202410-year Increase
Total Debt$41.7 Trillion (238% of GDP)$75.1 Trillion (259% of GDP)+80%C$3.6 Trillion (179% of GDP)C$6.5 Trillion (216% of GDP)+82%
GDP$17.5 Trillion$29 Trillion+66%C$2.0 TrillionC$3.0 Trillion+51%
Federal Government DebtPublic Debt$12.9 Trillion (74% of GDP)$28.6 Trillion (99% of GDP)+122%C$0.64 Trillion (32% of GDP)C$1.39 Trillion (46% of GDP)+117%
Public Debt + Intragovernment$17.9 Trillion (102% of GDP)$35.9 Trillion (124% of GDP)+101%
Household Debt$11.6 Trillion (74% Real Estate + 26% Consumer)$17.8 Trillion (72% Real Estate + 28% Consumer)+53%C$1.83 Trillion (77% Real Estate + 23% Consumer)C$2.94 Trillion (81% Real Estate + 19% Consumer)+60%
Business Debt$12.2 Trillion (31% Mortgage + 69% Non-Mortgage)$21.4 Trillion (31% Mortgage + 69% Non-Mortgage)+75%C$1.09 Trillion (19% Mortgage + 81% Non-Mortgage)C$2.17 Trillion (18% Mortgage + 82% Non-Mortgage)+99%

Key Insights:

  • 1️⃣ Debt Levels:
    • U.S.: Total debt (excluding local government and non-profit sectors) is US$75.1 trillion (📊 259% of GDP).
    • Canada: Total debt stands at C$6.5 trillion (📊 216% of GDP).
  • 2️⃣ Federal Debt Surge:
    • U.S.: The federal debt is a staggering 124% of GDP, raising significant concerns.🚩
    • Canada: The federal debt has grown at the fastest rate among all debt categories, signaling a worrying trend.
  • 3️⃣ Debt vs. GDP Growth:Over the last decade, all debt categories, except U.S. household debt, have grown faster than GDP.📈
  • 4️⃣ Household Debt Composition:🏡Mortgage Debt: In Canada, it makes up a larger share of household debt compared to the U.S., reflecting higher home prices in Canada vs. U.S.
  • 5️⃣ Debt-Driven Growth:
    • Economic growth in both countries increasingly depends on rising debt.
    • The troubling reality is that debt is growing faster than GDP, raising serious concerns about long-term sustainability.

While debt-fueled growth provides short-term economic boosts, these trends call for urgent fiscal and monetary discipline to ensure economic stability in the years to come.

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